Municipal Liberia 31%Draw 27%LD Alajuelense 42%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.30
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLD Alajuelense to win42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.83
Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Primera División brings Municipal Liberia against LD Alajuelense at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.
Current form
Municipal Liberia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting San Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
LD Alajuelense, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Puntarenas FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Municipal Liberia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for LD Alajuelense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Liberia 1.1 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Liberia 31%, draw 27%, LD Alajuelense 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Liberia 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal Liberia31%fair 3.23 · @3.30
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
2.38Expected goals
1.08Municipal Liberia xG
1.30LD Alajuelense xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Municipal Liberia 1.1 – 1.3 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
LD Alajuelense (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Municipal Liberia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
LD Alajuelense to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
Municipal Liberia – last 6
WWWDWW
22 Apr
@ Sporting San Jose
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs CS Cartagines
1–0
W
7 Apr
vs San Carlos
5–1
W
26 Mar
vs Deportivo Saprissa
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ CS Herediano
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 6
WDWDLL
24 Apr
vs Puntarenas FC
5–2
W
20 Apr
vs Deportivo Saprissa
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Sporting San Jose
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs Guadalupe FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ CS Herediano
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal Liberia and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Municipal Liberia have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and LD Alajuelense 42%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Municipal Liberia 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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