Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.77
Qarabag vs Keshla FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Keshla FC travel to face Qarabag on Wednesday 4 March in the Cup, with Azersun Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Qarabag, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Sabah FA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Keshla FC, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Neftchi Baku, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.8 xG, Keshla FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 64%, draw 22%, Keshla FC 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 2–0 Keshla FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qarabag64%fair 1.56 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @5.00
Keshla FC14%fair 7.05 · @14.00
2.63Expected goals
1.78Qarabag xG
0.85Keshla FC xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.8 – 0.8 Keshla FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✓
64%
1.56
1.20
Double chance
Qarabag or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.50
Draw no bet
Qarabag (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Keshla FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Qarabag to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Qarabag ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.77
–
Recent results
Qarabag – last 4
DLLW
1 Mar
vs Sabah FA
3–3
D
24 Feb
@ Newcastle
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Newcastle
1–6
L
14 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Keshla FC – last 3
DDD
28 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Turan
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qarabag and Keshla FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Keshla FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 2–0 Keshla FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Keshla FC?
Qarabag vs Keshla FC (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Azersun Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
