Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✓53% · @1.64
Double chanceZira or draw ✓78% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Zira vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zira welcome Sumqayıt to Zira Stadium for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 3 March (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Sumqayıt, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kapaz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.4 xG, Sumqayıt 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 53%, draw 25%, Sumqayıt 22%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira53%fair 1.88 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.35
Sumqayıt22%fair 4.59 · @5.25
2.37Expected goals
1.43Zira xG
0.94Sumqayıt xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Zira 1.4 – 0.9 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✓
53%
1.88
1.64
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Sumqayıt +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Zira to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Zira – last 2
WL
27 Feb
@ Araz
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sumqayıt – last 3
LDL
27 Feb
@ Kapaz
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Qabala
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Sumqayıt.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Zira have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sumqayıt 22%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Zira vs Sumqayıt (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
