Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.94 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia to win ✗55% · @1.94
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Division Profesional Clausura brings Olimpia against Libertad Asuncion at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 42 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33.
Current form
Olimpia, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Flamengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UCV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Olimpia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Libertad Asuncion.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 3–2 Olimpia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Olimpia 1 win, Libertad Asuncion 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.8 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 55%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 21%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Olimpia to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olimpia or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpia55%fair 1.81 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Libertad Asuncion21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
2.79Expected goals
1.79Olimpia xG
1.00Libertad Asuncion xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.8 – 1.0 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Libertad Asuncion 21%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
