Value bet: Varnsdorf to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVarnsdorf to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 27.31
Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Varnsdorf v Ústí nad Orlicí in the 3. Liga CFL B, played at Mestsky stadion v Kotline. In the table, Varnsdorf are 11th, lower half, on 37 points after 32 matches; Ústí nad Orlicí are 15th (in the drop zone) with 31.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varnsdorf 1.6 xG, Ústí nad Orlicí 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varnsdorf 41%, draw 23%, Ústí nad Orlicí 36%.
Price worth noting: Varnsdorf to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varnsdorf 2–1 Ústí nad Orlicí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varnsdorf41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.75
Ústí nad Orlicí36%fair 2.78 · @2.10
2.88Expected goals
1.58Varnsdorf xG
1.31Ústí nad Orlicí xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Varnsdorf 1.6 – 1.3 Ústí nad Orlicí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varnsdorf to win✗
41%
2.45
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Varnsdorf (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Ústí nad Orlicí +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Varnsdorf to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
27.31
–
Recent results
Varnsdorf – last 1
W
8 Mar
@ Teplice II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ústí nad Orlicí
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varnsdorf and Ústí nad Orlicí.
What is the prediction for Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
On our numbers Varnsdorf have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ústí nad Orlicí 36%.
How many goals will there be in Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Our predicted score is Varnsdorf 2–1 Ústí nad Orlicí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
Varnsdorf vs Ústí nad Orlicí (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
