Velké Hamry 42%Draw 23%Varnsdorf 35%Expected goals 1.47 – 1.68
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Varnsdorf to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVelké Hamry to win ✗42% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.84
Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the 3. Liga CFL B brings Velké Hamry against Varnsdorf at Stadion Velke Hamry. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, Velké Hamry are 14th, lower half, on 31 points after 32 matches; Varnsdorf are 11th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Velké Hamry, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Neratovice-Byškovice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Varnsdorf, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sokol Brozany, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Varnsdorf, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.5 for Velké Hamry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velké Hamry 1.5 xG, Varnsdorf 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velké Hamry 42%, draw 23%, Varnsdorf 35%.
Price worth noting: Varnsdorf to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velké Hamry 1–2 Varnsdorf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velké Hamry42%fair 2.39 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.55
Varnsdorf35%fair 2.83 · @3.20
3.15Expected goals
1.47Velké Hamry xG
1.68Varnsdorf xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Velké Hamry 1.5 – 1.7 Varnsdorf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velké Hamry to win✗
42%
2.39
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Velké Hamry (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Velké Hamry +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Varnsdorf to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Velké Hamry – last 6
DLLLDD
22 Apr
vs Neratovice-Byškovice
1–1
D
18 Apr
vs Baník Souš
0–4
L
12 Apr
@ Hradec Králové II
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Arsenal Česká Lípa
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Sokol Brozany
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Mladá Boleslav II
3–3
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Varnsdorf – last 5
DWDLW
5 Apr
@ Sokol Brozany
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sokol Zápy
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Pardubice II
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Ústí nad Orlicí
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Teplice II
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velké Hamry and Varnsdorf.
What is the prediction for Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf?
On our numbers Velké Hamry have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varnsdorf 35%.
How many goals will there be in Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf?
Our predicted score is Velké Hamry 1–2 Varnsdorf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf?
Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Velke Hamry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.