Velké Hamry v Ústí nad Orlicí Prediction & Expected Goals (16 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVelké Hamry to win ✗45% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 34.42

Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Velké Hamry welcome Ústí nad Orlicí to Stadion Velke Hamry for a 3. Liga CFL B fixture on Saturday 16 May (09:30 WAT). In the table, Velké Hamry are 14th, lower half, on 31 points after 32 matches; Ústí nad Orlicí are 15th (in the drop zone) with 31. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Velké Hamry, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Teplice II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Ústí nad Orlicí, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Hradec Králové II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ústí nad Orlicí, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Velké Hamry.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Velké Hamry 1.4 xG, Ústí nad Orlicí 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Velké Hamry 45%, draw 25%, Ústí nad Orlicí 30%.
Price worth noting: Ústí nad Orlicí to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velké Hamry 2–1 Ústí nad Orlicí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Velké Hamry45%fair 2.20 · @1.80

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.55

Ústí nad Orlicí30%fair 3.34 · @3.55

2.80Expected goals

1.42Velké Hamry xG

1.38Ústí nad Orlicí xG

49%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–18%

0–18%

1–28%

2–06%

From our goals model: Velké Hamry 1.4 – 1.4 Ústí nad Orlicí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Velké Hamry to win ✗	45%	2.20	1.80
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.97	–
Draw no bet	Velké Hamry (draw no bet)	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Ústí nad Orlicí +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Velké Hamry to score first	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Velké Hamry / FT Velké Hamry ✗	22%	4.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	3%	34.42	–

Velké Hamry – last 6

LLDLLL

10 May	@ Teplice II	1–2	L
2 May	vs Varnsdorf	0–2	L
22 Apr	vs Neratovice-Byškovice	1–1	D
18 Apr	vs Baník Souš	0–4	L
12 Apr	@ Hradec Králové II	0–1	L
5 Apr	vs Arsenal Česká Lípa	1–2	L

0.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Ústí nad Orlicí – last 4

LLLW

6 May	vs Hradec Králové II	2–5	L
19 Apr	@ Sokol Brozany	1–3	L
3 Apr	@ Pardubice II	0–3	L
15 Mar	@ Varnsdorf	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

75%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Česká Lípa	32	29	1	2	+62	88
2	Sokol Zápy	32	23	5	4	+45	74
3	Baník Souš	32	20	4	8	+26	64
4	Hradec Králové II	32	19	4	9	+23	61
5	Teplice II	32	14	8	10	+4	50
6	Benátky nad Jizerou	32	12	8	12	+5	44
7	Pardubice II	32	12	7	13	+12	43
8	Jablonec II	32	11	6	15	-13	39
9	Mladá Boleslav II	32	10	8	14	-11	38
10	Slovan Liberec II	32	10	7	15	+8	37
11	Varnsdorf	32	10	7	15	-19	37
12	Neratovice-Byškovice	32	9	9	14	-22	36
13	Sokol Brozany	32	8	10	14	-20	34
14	Velké Hamry	32	7	10	15	-12	31
15	Ústí nad Orlicí	32	7	10	15	-20	31
16	Slovan Velvary	32	7	4	21	-36	25
17	Kolín	32	4	12	16	-32	24

Team

Pts

+62

+45

+26

+23

+12

-13

-11

-19

-22

-20

-12

-20

-36

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí?

On our numbers Velké Hamry have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ústí nad Orlicí 30%.

How many goals will there be in Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí?

Our predicted score is Velké Hamry 2–1 Ústí nad Orlicí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí?

Velké Hamry vs Ústí nad Orlicí (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Velke Hamry.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Velké Hamry v Ústí nad Orlicí: numbers & prediction