Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Varnsdorf to win @ 2.14 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVarnsdorf to win ✓55% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Varnsdorf v Slovan Velvary in the 3. Liga CFL B, played at Mestsky stadion v Kotline. In the table, Varnsdorf are 11th, lower half, on 37 points after 32 matches; Slovan Velvary are 16th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Varnsdorf, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Velké Hamry, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Slovan Velvary, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–8 defeat to Slovan Liberec II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varnsdorf 2.3 xG, Slovan Velvary 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varnsdorf 55%, draw 21%, Slovan Velvary 24%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Varnsdorf to win @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varnsdorf 2–1 Slovan Velvary. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varnsdorf55%fair 1.82 · @2.14
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Slovan Velvary24%fair 4.14 · @2.70
3.45Expected goals
2.27Varnsdorf xG
1.19Slovan Velvary xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Varnsdorf 2.3 – 1.2 Slovan Velvary expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varnsdorf to win✓
55%
1.82
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Draw no bet
Varnsdorf (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Varnsdorf -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.17
First team to score
Varnsdorf to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Varnsdorf ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Varnsdorf – last 6
WDWDLW
2 May
@ Velké Hamry
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sokol Brozany
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sokol Zápy
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Pardubice II
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Ústí nad Orlicí
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Teplice II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Slovan Velvary – last 5
LWDLW
3 May
@ Slovan Liberec II
1–8
L
19 Apr
@ Benátky nad Jizerou
4–1
W
3 Apr
@ Neratovice-Byškovice
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Sokol Zápy
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ Kolín
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varnsdorf and Slovan Velvary.
What is the prediction for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
On our numbers Varnsdorf have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Slovan Velvary 24%.
How many goals will there be in Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
Our predicted score is Varnsdorf 2–1 Slovan Velvary, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary?
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Velvary (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
