Atlanta United FC 30%Draw 24%Philadelphia Union 46%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.64
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.56
Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philadelphia Union travel to face Atlanta United FC on Saturday 14 March in the Major League Soccer, with Mercedes-Benz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Philadelphia Union, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club America, at home. 2.4 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.2 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 30%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 46%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Philadelphia Union to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta United FC30%fair 3.32 · @2.78
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Philadelphia Union46%fair 2.17 · @2.40
2.81Expected goals
1.17Atlanta United FC xG
1.64Philadelphia Union xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.2 – 1.6 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win
46%
2.17
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Atlanta United FC +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Atlanta United FC – last 2
LL
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 5
LLWLW
11 Mar
vs Club America
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Defence Force
7–0
W
22 Feb
@ DC United
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Defence Force
5–0
W
2.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 46%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
