Los Angeles FC 58%Draw 23%San Jose Earthquakes 19%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.02
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗58% · @1.63
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 20 April: Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, played at BMO Stadium. In the table, Los Angeles FC are 6th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52.
Current form
Los Angeles FC, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruz Azul, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Phoenix Rising, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Los Angeles FC 1.8 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Los Angeles FC 58%, draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%.
Lower-risk option: Los Angeles FC or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Los Angeles FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Los Angeles FC58%fair 1.73 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.10
San Jose Earthquakes19%fair 5.29 · @4.70
2.78Expected goals
1.76Los Angeles FC xG
1.02San Jose Earthquakes xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 1.8 – 1.0 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles FC to win✗
58%
1.73
1.63
Double chance
Los Angeles FC or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
Los Angeles FC (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.25
First team to score
Los Angeles FC to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Los Angeles FC – last 6
DWWDWW
15 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Cruz Azul
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
6–0
W
22 Mar
@ Austin
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ LD Alajuelense
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs St. Louis City
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
WWWWLW
16 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Sporting Kansas City
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs San Diego
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Jose Earthquakes 19%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
