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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Los Angeles FC v Houston Dynamo: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Stadium
1–4
FT
Los Angeles FC 53%Draw 25%Houston Dynamo 21% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.01
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗53% · @1.58
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Houston Dynamo travel to face Los Angeles FC on Monday 11 May in the Major League Soccer, with BMO Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Los Angeles FC are 6th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Houston Dynamo are 5th (upper half) with 51.

Current form

Los Angeles FC, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Toluca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Houston Dynamo, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colorado Rapids, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Los Angeles FC.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Houston Dynamo 0–2 Los Angeles FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Los Angeles FC 1.5 xG, Houston Dynamo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Los Angeles FC 53%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Los Angeles FC or draw (79%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Los Angeles FC 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Los Angeles FC53%fair 1.88 · @1.58
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.95
Houston Dynamo21%fair 4.70 · @5.50
2.55Expected goals
1.54Los Angeles FC xG
1.01Houston Dynamo xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 1.5 – 1.0 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLos Angeles FC to win ✗53%1.881.58
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✗79%1.271.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Draw no betLos Angeles FC (draw no bet) ✗71%1.40–
Asian handicapHouston Dynamo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.17
First team to scoreLos Angeles FC to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Los Angeles FC – last 6

LWDLDW
7 May@ Toluca0–4L
30 Aprvs Toluca2–1W
23 Aprvs Colorado Rapids0–0D
20 Aprvs San Jose Earthquakes1–4L
15 Apr@ Cruz Azul1–1D
8 Aprvs Cruz Azul3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo – last 6

WDLWWW
3 Mayvs Colorado Rapids1–0W
30 Aprvs Louisville City1–1D
26 Apr@ Austin0–2L
23 Aprvs San Diego1–0W
19 Apr@ Orlando City SC1–0W
16 Aprvs El Paso Locomotive4–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles FC0–2
Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Houston Dynamo 21%.

How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.