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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Nu Stadium
6–4
FT
Inter Miami 58%Draw 20%Philadelphia Union 22% Expected goals 2.06 – 1.51
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultInter Miami to win ✓58% · @1.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08

Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer, played at Nu Stadium. In the table, Inter Miami are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.

Current form

Inter Miami, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Portland Timbers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Philadelphia Union, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Columbus Crew, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Inter Miami, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inter Miami 2.1 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.5 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inter Miami 58%, draw 20%, Philadelphia Union 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter Miami 2–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inter Miami58%fair 1.73 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @5.10
Philadelphia Union22%fair 4.45 · @6.50
3.57Expected goals
2.06Inter Miami xG
1.51Philadelphia Union xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–06%

From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.1 – 1.5 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInter Miami to win ✓58%1.731.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.53
Draw no betInter Miami (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.931.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.421.35
First team to scoreInter Miami to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultInter Miami ahead at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

Inter Miami – last 6

WWLDWD
17 Mayvs Portland Timbers2–0W
14 May@ FC Cincinnati5–3W
3 Mayvs Orlando City SC3–4L
26 Aprvs New England Revolution1–1D
23 Apr@ Real Salt Lake2–0W
12 Aprvs New York Red Bulls2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Philadelphia Union – last 6

DLLDLD
17 Mayvs Columbus Crew1–1D
14 May@ Orlando City SC3–4L
10 May@ New England Revolution1–2L
3 Mayvs Nashville SC0–0D
26 Apr@ Columbus Crew0–2L
23 Apr@ Toronto FC3–3D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union.

Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

On our numbers Inter Miami have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Philadelphia Union 22%.

How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.