New York Red Bulls 38%Draw 23%Charlotte 39%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.75
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.82 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte to win ✓39% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York Red Bulls welcome Charlotte to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday 25 July (23:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Charlotte are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Philadelphia Union, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Charlotte, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlanta United FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Charlotte 6–1 New York Red Bulls.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.6 xG, Charlotte 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 38%, draw 23%, Charlotte 39%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Charlotte to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–2 Charlotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls38%fair 2.62 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.80
Charlotte39%fair 2.56 · @2.82
3.32Expected goals
1.57New York Red Bulls xG
1.75Charlotte xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.6 – 1.8 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charlotte 39%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.