New York City FC 56%Draw 23%Toronto FC 21%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.13
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗56% · @1.63
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
New York City FC vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 1 August: New York City FC v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Yankee Stadium. In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
New York City FC, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chicago Fire, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Toronto FC, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to DC United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours New York City FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 1.9 xG, Toronto FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 56%, draw 23%, Toronto FC 21%.
Lower-risk option: New York City FC or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York City FC56%fair 1.78 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.90
Toronto FC21%fair 4.74 · @5.00
2.99Expected goals
1.86New York City FC xG
1.13Toronto FC xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.9 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
56%
1.78
1.63
Double chance
New York City FC or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
New York City FC (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
First team to score
New York City FC to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
New York City FC ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
New York City FC – last 6
WWLLDW
26 Jul
vs Chicago Fire
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Columbus Crew
2–1
W
24 May
@ Nashville SC
1–2
L
21 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–1
L
17 May
@ New York Red Bulls
1–1
D
14 May
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LDDLLL
26 Jul
@ DC United
1–2
L
23 Jul
@ New England Revolution
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ CF Montreal
0–0
D
24 May
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toronto FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
New York City FC vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
