Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 2.32 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Dallas to win ✓46% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.92
Austin vs FC Dallas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the Major League Soccer brings Austin against FC Dallas at Q2 Stadium. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; FC Dallas are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Austin, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club America, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
FC Dallas, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Toluca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.4 xG, FC Dallas 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 32%, draw 21%, FC Dallas 46%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: FC Dallas to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 FC Dallas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Austin32%fair 3.08 · @2.84
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
FC Dallas46%fair 2.16 · @2.32
3.08Expected goals
1.38Austin xG
1.70FC Dallas xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.7 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Dallas to win✓
46%
2.16
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Draw no bet
FC Dallas (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Austin +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
First team to score
FC Dallas to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Austin – last 6
DWWLLW
14 Aug
@ Club America
1–1
D
10 Aug
vs Puebla
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Houston Dynamo
0–3
L
23 Jul
vs Seattle Sounders
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Dallas – last 6
LWWDLD
13 Aug
@ Toluca
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Guadalajara Chivas
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ San Diego
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Portland Timbers
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and FC Dallas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Austin vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers Austin have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Dallas 46%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Austin vs FC Dallas?
Austin vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
