Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
New York City FC vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nashville SC travel to face New York City FC on Saturday 5 September in the Major League Soccer, with Yankee Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New York City FC, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Toronto FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nashville SC, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FC Cincinnati, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for New York City FC.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 1.4 xG, Nashville SC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 36%, draw 21%, Nashville SC 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York City FC36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Nashville SC43%fair 2.33 · @2.55
2.88Expected goals
1.36New York City FC xG
1.52Nashville SC xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.4 – 1.5 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nashville SC 43%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
New York City FC vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
