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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

New York City FC v New York Red Bulls: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Yankee Stadium
New York City FC 58%Draw 23%New York Red Bulls 18% Expected goals 2.00 – 1.06
82%
Betarazi pick

New York City FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNew York City FC to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New York Red Bulls travel to face New York City FC on Saturday 19 September in the Major League Soccer, with Yankee Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; New York Red Bulls are 10th (lower half) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

New York City FC, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Real Salt Lake, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

New York Red Bulls, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Columbus Crew, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: New York City FC 1 win, New York Red Bulls 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 2.0 xG, New York Red Bulls 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 58%, draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: New York City FC or draw (82%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was New York City FC or draw (82%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New York City FC58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
New York Red Bulls18%fair 5.41 · @3.80
3.06Expected goals
2.00New York City FC xG
1.06New York Red Bulls xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: New York City FC 2.0 – 1.1 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew York City FC to win ✗58%1.721.75
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✗82%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.601.44
Draw no betNew York City FC (draw no bet) ✗76%1.32–
Asian handicapNew York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreNew York City FC to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultNew York City FC ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT New York City FC / FT New York City FC ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

New York City FC – last 6

WLDDDL
13 Sep@ Real Salt Lake2–0W
10 Sepvs New England Revolution1–2L
5 Sepvs Nashville SC0–0D
30 Aug@ Toronto FC1–1D
23 Aug@ New England Revolution1–1D
20 Aug@ FC Cincinnati1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

New York Red Bulls – last 6

WLDLDL
13 Sep@ Columbus Crew1–0W
10 Sep@ Los Angeles FC0–2L
6 Sep@ Seattle Sounders0–0D
30 Augvs Philadelphia Union1–3L
23 Augvs Chicago Fire1–1D
20 Augvs Nashville SC0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026New York Red Bulls v New York City FC1–1
30 Apr 2026New York Red Bulls v New York City FC1–3
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our pick is New York City FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

On our numbers New York City FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New York Red Bulls 18%.

How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.