New York Red Bulls 23%Draw 15%St. Louis City 62%Expected goals 1.11 – 2.02
62%
Betarazi pick
St. Louis City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 1 October the Major League Soccer brings New York Red Bulls against St. Louis City at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over New York City FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
St. Louis City, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Toronto FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for New York Red Bulls.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.1 xG, St. Louis City 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 23%, draw 15%, St. Louis City 62%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was St. Louis City to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–2 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Draw15%fair 6.62 · @3.80
St. Louis City62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
3.13Expected goals
1.11New York Red Bulls xG
2.02St. Louis City xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.1 – 2.0 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.40
Draw no bet
St. Louis City (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
New York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
St. Louis City to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
St. Louis City ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
New York Red Bulls – last 6
WWLDLD
19 Sep
@ New York City FC
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Columbus Crew
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Chicago Fire
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
St. Louis City – last 6
WWWDWD
20 Sep
vs Toronto FC
3–1
W
17 Sep
@ Colorado Rapids
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Minnesota United FC
4–2
W
10 Sep
@ Portland Timbers
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs FC Dallas
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is St. Louis City to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and St. Louis City 62%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
