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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium
2–0
FT
New York Red Bulls 26%Draw 17%Inter Miami 57% Expected goals 1.42 – 2.23
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Inter Miami to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultInter Miami to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New York Red Bulls welcome Inter Miami to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday 24 October (22:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Inter Miami are 2nd (among the top four) with 60. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

New York Red Bulls, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Toronto FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Inter Miami, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atlanta United FC, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Inter Miami, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for New York Red Bulls.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.4 xG, Inter Miami 2.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 26%, draw 17%, Inter Miami 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.
  • Price worth noting: Inter Miami to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–2 Inter Miami. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New York Red Bulls26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @4.00
Inter Miami57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
3.65Expected goals
1.42New York Red Bulls xG
2.23Inter Miami xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.4 – 2.2 Inter Miami expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInter Miami to win ✗57%1.741.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗70%1.431.25
Draw no betInter Miami (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapNew York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
First team to scoreInter Miami to score first ✗59%1.68–
Half-time resultInter Miami ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

New York Red Bulls – last 6

LLWLWW
18 Octvs Toronto FC0–2L
15 Oct@ DC United1–2L
11 Octvs San Diego4–1W
1 Octvs St. Louis City0–3L
19 Sep@ New York City FC1–0W
13 Sep@ Columbus Crew1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Inter Miami – last 6

WWWLDW
18 Oct@ Atlanta United FC3–1W
15 Octvs New York City FC2–0W
11 Octvs DC United4–0W
28 Sep@ Columbus Crew1–2L
21 Sepvs San Diego2–2D
17 Sepvs Cruz Azul2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Inter Miami v New York Red Bulls2–2
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Inter Miami 57%.

How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 Inter Miami, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.