Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✓42% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Atlanta United FC, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New York City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Toronto FC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over DC United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Toronto FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Atlanta United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.7 xG, Toronto FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 21%, Toronto FC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta United FC42%fair 2.41 · @2.15

Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60

Toronto FC38%fair 2.65 · @2.80

3.22Expected goals

1.66Atlanta United FC xG

1.56Toronto FC xG

64%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–28%

2–27%

1–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.7 – 1.6 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlanta United FC to win ✓	42%	2.41	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.40
Draw no bet	Atlanta United FC (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Toronto FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	–
First team to score	Atlanta United FC to score first ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.63	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC ✓	24%	4.16	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.67	–

Atlanta United FC – last 6

LLLWLD

29 Oct	@ New York City FC	1–2	L
25 Oct	vs Chicago Fire	2–3	L
18 Oct	vs Inter Miami	1–3	L
15 Oct	@ CF Montreal	3–0	W
11 Oct	vs FC Cincinnati	1–3	L
27 Sep	vs New York City FC	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

WLWDWL

29 Oct	vs DC United	2–1	W
24 Oct	@ Columbus Crew	2–4	L
18 Oct	@ New York Red Bulls	2–0	W
15 Oct	vs Orlando City SC	3–3	D
10 Oct	vs CF Montreal	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Nashville SC	0–2	L

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toronto FC 38%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction