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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls 62%Draw 15%Atlanta United FC 24% Expected goals 2.21 – 1.26
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: New York Red Bulls to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New York Red Bulls welcome Atlanta United FC to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday 7 November (22:00 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33.

Current form

New York Red Bulls, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Nashville SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Atlanta United FC, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Toronto FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 2.2 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 62%, draw 15%, Atlanta United FC 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: New York Red Bulls to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New York Red Bulls62%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.77 · @4.33
Atlanta United FC24%fair 4.22 · @3.50
3.46Expected goals
2.21New York Red Bulls xG
1.26Atlanta United FC xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 2.2 – 1.3 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew York Red Bulls to win ✓62%1.631.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.481.33
Draw no betNew York Red Bulls (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapAtlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.982.00
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.451.44
First team to scoreNew York Red Bulls to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultNew York Red Bulls ahead at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

New York Red Bulls – last 6

LLWLLW
1 Nov@ Nashville SC2–3L
29 Oct@ New England Revolution2–3L
24 Octvs Inter Miami2–0W
18 Octvs Toronto FC0–2L
15 Oct@ DC United1–2L
11 Octvs San Diego4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atlanta United FC – last 6

WLLLWL
1 Novvs Toronto FC3–1W
29 Oct@ New York City FC1–2L
25 Octvs Chicago Fire2–3L
18 Octvs Inter Miami1–3L
15 Oct@ CF Montreal3–0W
11 Octvs FC Cincinnati1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls2–1
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Atlanta United FC 24%.

How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.