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Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC 61%Draw 22%San Jose Earthquakes 17% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.14
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, played at Allianz Field. In the table, Minnesota United FC are 10th, lower half, on 44 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52.

Current form

Minnesota United FC, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Los Angeles FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Salt Lake, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Minnesota United FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Minnesota United FC 1 win, San Jose Earthquakes 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Minnesota United FC 2.2 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Minnesota United FC 61%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Minnesota United FC or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minnesota United FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Minnesota United FC61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.50
San Jose Earthquakes17%fair 5.79 · @4.75
3.35Expected goals
2.22Minnesota United FC xG
1.14San Jose Earthquakes xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 2.2 – 1.1 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinnesota United FC to win ✓61%1.651.62
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.44
Draw no betMinnesota United FC (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapMinnesota United FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.171.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.851.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
First team to scoreMinnesota United FC to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultMinnesota United FC ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minnesota United FC / FT Minnesota United FC ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Minnesota United FC – last 6

WWDWDD
2 Nov@ Los Angeles FC3–1W
29 Octvs Sporting Kansas City3–1W
25 Oct@ Houston Dynamo0–0D
17 Octvs St. Louis City3–2W
15 Oct@ Colorado Rapids2–2D
11 Octvs Houston Dynamo2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

WDLDDD
31 Octvs Real Salt Lake2–1W
29 Octvs Colorado Rapids2–2D
25 Oct@ FC Dallas0–3L
18 Octvs Nashville SC1–1D
15 Oct@ Real Salt Lake1–1D
11 Oct@ Colorado Rapids1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC1–5
29 Apr 2026San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC4–2
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Jose Earthquakes 17%.

How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.