Value bet: Nakhon Pathom to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNakhon Pathom to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.19
Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Thai League 2 brings Nakhon Pathom against Police Tero at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Nakhon Pathom are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Police Tero are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Pathom 1.6 xG, Police Tero 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Pathom 44%, draw 25%, Police Tero 31%.
Price worth noting: Nakhon Pathom to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Police Tero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nakhon Pathom44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Police Tero31%fair 3.23 · @2.65
2.66Expected goals
1.56Nakhon Pathom xG
1.10Police Tero xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.6 – 1.1 Police Tero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Pathom to win✓
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Nakhon Pathom (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Police Tero +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Nakhon Pathom to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.19
–
Recent results
Nakhon Pathom
No recent results on record.
Police Tero
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Police Tero.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Police Tero 31%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Police Tero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero?
Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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