Value bet: Bangkok to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChainat to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Bangkok vs Chainat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Bangkok v Chainat in the Thai League 2, played at Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bangkok 1.4 xG, Chainat 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bangkok 35%, draw 25%, Chainat 41%.
Price worth noting: Bangkok to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bangkok 2–1 Chainat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bangkok35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Chainat41%fair 2.47 · @2.05
2.83Expected goals
1.42Bangkok xG
1.41Chainat xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Bangkok 1.4 – 1.4 Chainat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chainat to win✗
41%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Chainat (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Chainat +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Bangkok to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bangkok / FT Bangkok✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Bangkok – last 2
DL
17 Feb
vs Phrae United
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Chiangmai United
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chainat – last 1
L
19 Feb
vs Mahasarakham United
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bangkok and Chainat.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Bangkok vs Chainat?
On our numbers Bangkok have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chainat 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bangkok vs Chainat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bangkok vs Chainat?
Our predicted score is Bangkok 2–1 Chainat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bangkok vs Chainat?
Bangkok vs Chainat (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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