Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Nakhon Pathom v Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2, played at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. In the table, Nakhon Pathom are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Chiangmai United are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nakhon Pathom, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Trat FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Chiangmai United, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nakhon Si Thammarat, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Pathom 1.4 xG, Chiangmai United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Pathom 47%, draw 25%, Chiangmai United 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Chiangmai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nakhon Pathom47%fair 2.11 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Chiangmai United27%fair 3.67 · @3.50
2.40Expected goals
1.35Nakhon Pathom xG
1.05Chiangmai United xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.4 – 1.0 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Pathom to win✗
47%
2.11
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Nakhon Pathom (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Chiangmai United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Nakhon Pathom to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Recent results
Nakhon Pathom – last 3
LDW
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Police Tero
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 3
LLW
22 Feb
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chanthaburi
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Bangkok
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chiangmai United 27%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Trat FC2
Rasi Salai United2
Sisaket United1
Pattani1
Bangkok1