Value bet: Nakhon Si Thammarat to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNakhon Si Thammarat to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 25.20
Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nakhon Si Thammarat welcome Mahasarakham United to Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium for a Thai League 2 fixture on Sunday 1 March (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Nakhon Si Thammarat, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chiangmai United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Mahasarakham United, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Songkhla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mahasarakham United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Nakhon Si Thammarat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Si Thammarat 1.5 xG, Mahasarakham United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Si Thammarat 39%, draw 24%, Mahasarakham United 37%.
Price worth noting: Nakhon Si Thammarat to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Si Thammarat 2–1 Mahasarakham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nakhon Si Thammarat39%fair 2.56 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
Mahasarakham United37%fair 2.74 · @2.00
2.68Expected goals
1.52Nakhon Si Thammarat xG
1.17Mahasarakham United xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nakhon Si Thammarat 1.5 – 1.2 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Si Thammarat to win✗
39%
2.56
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Nakhon Si Thammarat (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Mahasarakham United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Nakhon Si Thammarat to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Si Thammarat / FT Nakhon Si Thammarat✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
25.20
–
Recent results
Nakhon Si Thammarat – last 3
WDL
22 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
3–1
W
19 Feb
vs Kasetsart FC
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Nong Bua Pitchaya
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mahasarakham United – last 3
WWL
22 Feb
vs Songkhla
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Chainat
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Sisaket United
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Si Thammarat and Mahasarakham United.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United?
On our numbers Nakhon Si Thammarat have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mahasarakham United 37%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Si Thammarat 2–1 Mahasarakham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United?
Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Mahasarakham United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
