Nakhon Pathom 55%Draw 25%Kasetsart FC 20%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.86
80%
Betarazi pick
Nakhon Pathom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nakhon Pathom to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNakhon Pathom to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceNakhon Pathom or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Thai League 2 brings Nakhon Pathom against Kasetsart FC at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Nakhon Pathom are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Kasetsart FC are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Nakhon Pathom, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rasi Salai United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Kasetsart FC, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Songkhla, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Pathom 1.6 xG, Kasetsart FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Pathom 55%, draw 25%, Kasetsart FC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Nakhon Pathom or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Nakhon Pathom to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nakhon Pathom or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Kasetsart FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nakhon Pathom55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Kasetsart FC20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
2.48Expected goals
1.62Nakhon Pathom xG
0.86Kasetsart FC xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.6 – 0.9 Kasetsart FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Pathom to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Nakhon Pathom or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Nakhon Pathom (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Kasetsart FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nakhon Pathom to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Pathom / FT Nakhon Pathom✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Nakhon Pathom – last 5
LLLDW
3 Mar
@ Rasi Salai United
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
2–5
L
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Police Tero
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Kasetsart FC – last 5
DDDDL
4 Mar
vs Songkhla
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Police Tero
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Chanthaburi
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pattani
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Kasetsart FC.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
Our pick is Nakhon Pathom or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kasetsart FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–0 Kasetsart FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Si Thammarat2
Sisaket United2
Trat FC1
Pattani3