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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Esan Pattaya v Chiangmai United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 2 · Thailand · Nongprue Municipality Stadium
4–1
FT
Esan Pattaya 48%Draw 23%Chiangmai United 29% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.21
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultEsan Pattaya to win ✓48% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 28.16

Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Esan Pattaya welcome Chiangmai United to Nongprue Municipality Stadium for a Thai League 2 fixture on Saturday 7 March (12:30 WAT). In the table, Esan Pattaya are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Chiangmai United are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Esan Pattaya, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mahasarakham United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Chiangmai United, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Pattani, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Chiangmai United, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Esan Pattaya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Esan Pattaya 1.4 xG, Chiangmai United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Esan Pattaya 48%, draw 23%, Chiangmai United 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esan Pattaya 2–1 Chiangmai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Esan Pattaya48%fair 2.07 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60
Chiangmai United29%fair 3.46 · @3.40
2.65Expected goals
1.45Esan Pattaya xG
1.21Chiangmai United xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Esan Pattaya 1.4 – 1.2 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEsan Pattaya to win ✓48%2.071.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.30–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betEsan Pattaya (draw no bet) ✓63%1.60–
Asian handicapChiangmai United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreEsan Pattaya to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Esan Pattaya / FT Esan Pattaya ✓25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4%28.16–

Recent results

Esan Pattaya – last 4

LDDL
4 Mar@ Mahasarakham United0–1L
1 Marvs Khon Kaen United2–2D
18 Febvs Nakhon Pathom1–1D
14 Feb@ Trat FC0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chiangmai United – last 5

LWLLW
4 Marvs Pattani2–4L
28 Feb@ Nakhon Pathom5–2W
22 Feb@ Nakhon Si Thammarat1–3L
17 Feb@ Chanthaburi0–2L
13 Febvs Bangkok3–2W
2.2Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Esan Pattaya and Chiangmai United.

Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United head-to-head page →

Thai League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khon Kaen United10802+1224
2Uttaradit10541+919
3Nong Bua Pitchaya10532+1218
4Kanchanaburi10451+617
5Satun10442+516
6Nakhon Ratchasima FC10433+415
7Chainat10433-115
8Nakhon Pathom10352+114
9Muangthong United10424+114
10Phrae United10424014
11Chiangmai United10343+113
12Muang Loei United10334012
13Esan Pattaya10334-712
14Chanthaburi10244-110
15Police Tero10316-1310
16Songkhla10145-67
17Mahasarakham United10145-127
18Kasetsart FC10127-115

More Thai League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?

On our numbers Esan Pattaya have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chiangmai United 29%.

How many goals will there be in Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?

Our predicted score is Esan Pattaya 2–1 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United?

Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nongprue Municipality Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.