Bangkok v Police Tero Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBangkok to win ✓40% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Bangkok vs Police Tero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Bangkok v Police Tero in the Thai League 2, played at Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium.

Current form

Bangkok, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chanthaburi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Police Tero, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mahasarakham United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bangkok, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Police Tero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bangkok 1.6 xG, Police Tero 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bangkok 40%, draw 23%, Police Tero 37%.
Price worth noting: Bangkok to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bangkok 2–1 Police Tero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bangkok40%fair 2.48 · @2.88

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50

Police Tero37%fair 2.73 · @2.05

2.86Expected goals

1.60Bangkok xG

1.26Police Tero xG

51%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

2–07%

1–27%

0–17%

From our goals model: Bangkok 1.6 – 1.3 Police Tero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bangkok to win ✓	40%	2.48	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	–
Draw no bet	Bangkok (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Police Tero +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Bangkok to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bangkok / FT Bangkok ✗	27%	3.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.84	–

Bangkok – last 6

WLDDDL

7 Mar	@ Chanthaburi	2–1	W
3 Mar	vs Sisaket United	1–2	L
28 Feb	@ Pattani	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Chainat	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs Phrae United	2–2	D
13 Feb	@ Chiangmai United	2–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Police Tero – last 5

DDLLL

8 Mar	vs Mahasarakham United	0–0	D
27 Feb	vs Kasetsart FC	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Khon Kaen United	1–2	L
18 Feb	vs Trat FC	1–3	L
15 Feb	@ Nakhon Pathom	0–1	L

0.6Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Khon Kaen United	10	8	0	2	+12	24
2	Uttaradit	10	5	4	1	+9	19
3	Nong Bua Pitchaya	10	5	3	2	+12	18
4	Kanchanaburi	10	4	5	1	+6	17
5	Satun	10	4	4	2	+5	16
6	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	10	4	3	3	+4	15
7	Chainat	10	4	3	3	-1	15
8	Nakhon Pathom	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Muangthong United	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Phrae United	10	4	2	4	0	14
11	Chiangmai United	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Muang Loei United	10	3	3	4	0	12
13	Esan Pattaya	10	3	3	4	-7	12
14	Chanthaburi	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Police Tero	10	3	1	6	-13	10
16	Songkhla	10	1	4	5	-6	7
17	Mahasarakham United	10	1	4	5	-12	7
18	Kasetsart FC	10	1	2	7	-11	5

Team

Pts

+12

+12

-1

-7

-1

-13

-6

-12

-11

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bangkok vs Police Tero?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Bangkok vs Police Tero?

On our numbers Bangkok have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Police Tero 37%.

How many goals will there be in Bangkok vs Police Tero?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bangkok vs Police Tero?

Our predicted score is Bangkok 2–1 Police Tero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bangkok vs Police Tero?

Bangkok vs Police Tero (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bangkok v Police Tero: numbers & prediction

Bangkok