Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Thai League 2 brings Nakhon Pathom against Nong Bua Pitchaya at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Nakhon Pathom are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Nakhon Pathom, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Khon Kaen United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Esan Pattaya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Nakhon Pathom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Pathom 1.3 xG, Nong Bua Pitchaya 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Pathom 31%, draw 23%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Pathom 1–2 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nakhon Pathom31%fair 3.18 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Nong Bua Pitchaya45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
2.96Expected goals
1.30Nakhon Pathom xG
1.66Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.3 – 1.7 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✗
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Nong Bua Pitchaya (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Nakhon Pathom +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Nong Bua Pitchaya to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
LLLLLD
13 Mar
@ Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Kasetsart FC
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Rasi Salai United
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Chiangmai United
2–5
L
21 Feb
vs Trat FC
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
DWLLLW
14 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Trat FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Songkhla
2–5
L
21 Feb
@ Pattani
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Sisaket United
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nakhon Si Thammarat
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–2 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Trat FC2
Pattani3
Sisaket United1