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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mahasarakham United v Nakhon Pathom: numbers & prediction

Thai League 2 · Thailand · Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium
Mahasarakham United 48%Draw 25%Nakhon Pathom 27% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.17
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultMahasarakham United to win ✗48% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13

Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 April the Thai League 2 brings Mahasarakham United against Nakhon Pathom at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Mahasarakham United are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Nakhon Pathom are 8th (upper half) with 14.

Current form

Mahasarakham United, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Trat FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nakhon Pathom, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nong Bua Pitchaya, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mahasarakham United 1.3 xG, Nakhon Pathom 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mahasarakham United 48%, draw 25%, Nakhon Pathom 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mahasarakham United 1–1 Nakhon Pathom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mahasarakham United48%fair 2.08 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.60
Nakhon Pathom27%fair 3.71 · @4.33
2.48Expected goals
1.31Mahasarakham United xG
1.17Nakhon Pathom xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Mahasarakham United 1.3 – 1.2 Nakhon Pathom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMahasarakham United to win ✗48%2.081.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betMahasarakham United (draw no bet) ✗64%1.56–
Asian handicapNakhon Pathom +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreMahasarakham United to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mahasarakham United / FT Mahasarakham United ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.13–

Recent results

Mahasarakham United – last 6

LLLDWD
22 Mar@ Trat FC0–2L
18 Mar@ BG Pathum United0–3L
15 Mar@ Pattani1–2L
8 Mar@ Police Tero0–0D
4 Marvs Esan Pattaya1–0W
1 Mar@ Nakhon Si Thammarat0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nakhon Pathom – last 6

WLLLLL
22 Marvs Nong Bua Pitchaya3–1W
13 Mar@ Khon Kaen United0–1L
8 Marvs Kasetsart FC0–1L
3 Mar@ Rasi Salai United0–3L
28 Febvs Chiangmai United2–5L
21 Febvs Trat FC0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mahasarakham United and Nakhon Pathom.

Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom head-to-head page →

Thai League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khon Kaen United10802+1224
2Uttaradit10541+919
3Nong Bua Pitchaya10532+1218
4Kanchanaburi10451+617
5Satun10442+516
6Nakhon Ratchasima FC10433+415
7Chainat10433-115
8Nakhon Pathom10352+114
9Muangthong United10424+114
10Phrae United10424014
11Chiangmai United10343+113
12Muang Loei United10334012
13Esan Pattaya10334-712
14Chanthaburi10244-110
15Police Tero10316-1310
16Songkhla10145-67
17Mahasarakham United10145-127
18Kasetsart FC10127-115

More Thai League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?

On our numbers Mahasarakham United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nakhon Pathom 27%.

How many goals will there be in Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Our predicted score is Mahasarakham United 1–1 Nakhon Pathom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.