Buriram United 70%Draw 19%Ayutthaya FC 11%Expected goals 2.24 – 0.85
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBuriram United to win ✓70% · @1.13
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Buriram United welcome Ayutthaya FC to Chang Arena for a Thai League 1 fixture on Sunday 12 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Buriram United are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 7 matches; Ayutthaya FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Buriram United, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to BG Pathum United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ayutthaya FC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lamphun Warrior, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Buriram United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Ayutthaya FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 2.2 xG, Ayutthaya FC 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 70%, draw 19%, Ayutthaya FC 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buriram United70%fair 1.43 · @1.13
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @6.80
Ayutthaya FC11%fair 9.13 · @14.00
3.08Expected goals
2.24Buriram United xG
0.85Ayutthaya FC xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.2 – 0.8 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
70%
1.43
1.13
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Buriram United (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.36
First team to score
Buriram United to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 6
LDWWWW
8 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Ratchaburi
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Pattani
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Chonburi FC
5–0
W
7 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ayutthaya FC – last 6
LLWLWW
5 Apr
@ Lamphun Warrior
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Kanchanaburi
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Chonburi FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Ayutthaya FC.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ayutthaya FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
