BG Pathum United vs Buriram United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Thai League 1 brings BG Pathum United against Buriram United at BG Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, BG Pathum United are 7th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Buriram United are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BG Pathum United 1.1 xG, Buriram United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BG Pathum United 27%, draw 24%, Buriram United 48%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: BG Pathum United 1–1 Buriram United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BG Pathum United27%fair 3.66 · @3.35
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Buriram United48%fair 2.08 · @1.95
2.58Expected goals
1.12BG Pathum United xG
1.45Buriram United xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.1 – 1.5 Buriram United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
48%
2.08
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Buriram United (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
BG Pathum United +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Buriram United to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
BG Pathum United
No recent results on record.
Buriram United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Buriram United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Buriram United 48%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–1 Buriram United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?
BG Pathum United vs Buriram United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at BG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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