Bangkok United 68%Draw 22%Muangthong United 10%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.69
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBangkok United to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceBangkok United or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Bangkok United vs Muangthong United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bangkok United welcome Muangthong United to Thammasat Stadium for a Thai League 1 fixture on Sunday 22 February (13:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bangkok United 2.0 xG, Muangthong United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bangkok United 68%, draw 22%, Muangthong United 10%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bangkok United 2–0 Muangthong United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bangkok United68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.33
Muangthong United10%fair 9.76 · @8.20
2.72Expected goals
2.03Bangkok United xG
0.69Muangthong United xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bangkok United 2.0 – 0.7 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bangkok United to win✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Double chance
Bangkok United or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Draw no bet
Bangkok United (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Bangkok United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Bangkok United to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Bangkok United ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bangkok United / FT Bangkok United✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Bangkok United – last 1
D
19 Feb
@ Macarthur
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Muangthong United – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Lamphun Warrior
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bangkok United and Muangthong United.
What is the prediction for Bangkok United vs Muangthong United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bangkok United vs Muangthong United?
On our numbers Bangkok United have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Muangthong United 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bangkok United vs Muangthong United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bangkok United vs Muangthong United?
Our predicted score is Bangkok United 2–0 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bangkok United vs Muangthong United?
Bangkok United vs Muangthong United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Thammasat Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.