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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kanchanaburi v BG Pathum United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Kanchanaburi Province Stadium
0–2
FT
Kanchanaburi 24%Draw 25%BG Pathum United 51% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.60
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓51% · @1.85
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Kanchanaburi v BG Pathum United in the Thai League 1, played at Kanchanaburi Province Stadium.

Current form

Kanchanaburi, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sukhothai FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

BG Pathum United, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ratchaburi, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kanchanaburi 1.1 xG, BG Pathum United 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kanchanaburi 24%, draw 25%, BG Pathum United 51%.
  • Lower-risk option: BG Pathum United or draw (76%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kanchanaburi 1–1 BG Pathum United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kanchanaburi24%fair 4.12 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
BG Pathum United51%fair 1.97 · @1.85
2.69Expected goals
1.09Kanchanaburi xG
1.60BG Pathum United xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kanchanaburi 1.1 – 1.6 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBG Pathum United to win ✓51%1.971.85
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.67
Draw no betBG Pathum United (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapKanchanaburi +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreBG Pathum United to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United ✓30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Kanchanaburi – last 5

WWLLL
15 Marvs Sukhothai FC1–0W
7 Mar@ Ayutthaya FC2–0W
1 Marvs Chiangrai United0–4L
21 Feb@ Uthai Thani1–2L
14 Febvs Port FC1–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

BG Pathum United – last 6

DWLWWL
22 Marvs Ratchaburi2–2D
18 Marvs Mahasarakham United3–0W
8 Marvs Chonburi FC2–3L
1 Marvs Sukhothai FC2–1W
22 Feb@ Ayutthaya FC2–0W
14 Febvs Buriram United1–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kanchanaburi and BG Pathum United.

Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

On our numbers Kanchanaburi have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BG Pathum United 51%.

How many goals will there be in Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Our predicted score is Kanchanaburi 1–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Kanchanaburi vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanchanaburi Province Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.