Value bet: Lamphun Warrior to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLamphun Warrior to win ✗42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lamphun Warrior travel to face Rayong FC on Sunday 26 April in the Thai League 1, with Rayong Provincial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Rayong FC are 12th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; Lamphun Warrior are 9th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayong FC, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Chonburi FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lamphun Warrior, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ayutthaya FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lamphun Warrior, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Rayong FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayong FC 1.2 xG, Lamphun Warrior 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayong FC 33%, draw 25%, Lamphun Warrior 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Lamphun Warrior to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayong FC 1–1 Lamphun Warrior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayong FC33%fair 3.05 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Lamphun Warrior42%fair 2.37 · @2.65
2.83Expected goals
1.23Rayong FC xG
1.60Lamphun Warrior xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rayong FC 1.2 – 1.6 Lamphun Warrior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lamphun Warrior to win✗
42%
2.37
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.65
Draw no bet
Lamphun Warrior (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Rayong FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Lamphun Warrior to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lamphun Warrior / FT Lamphun Warrior✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Rayong FC – last 5
LLLLD
5 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Sukhothai FC
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Prachuap
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Lamphun Warrior – last 5
WLDDD
5 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Port FC
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayong FC and Lamphun Warrior.
What is the prediction for Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
On our numbers Rayong FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lamphun Warrior 42%.
How many goals will there be in Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
Our predicted score is Rayong FC 1–1 Lamphun Warrior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Rayong Provincial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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