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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bangkok United v Ayutthaya FC: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Thammasat Stadium
4–1
FT
Bangkok United 62%Draw 23%Ayutthaya FC 15% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.84
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultBangkok United to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceBangkok United or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ayutthaya FC travel to face Bangkok United on Saturday 2 May in the Thai League 1, with Thammasat Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Bangkok United are 2nd, among the top four, on 16 points after 8 matches; Ayutthaya FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bangkok United, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uthai Thani, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ayutthaya FC, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Prachuap, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bangkok United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Ayutthaya FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bangkok United 1.9 xG, Ayutthaya FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bangkok United 62%, draw 23%, Ayutthaya FC 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bangkok United 1–0 Ayutthaya FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bangkok United62%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.20
Ayutthaya FC15%fair 6.67 · @6.00
2.79Expected goals
1.94Bangkok United xG
0.84Ayutthaya FC xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Bangkok United 1.9 – 0.8 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBangkok United to win ✓62%1.601.44
Double chanceBangkok United or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.60
Draw no betBangkok United (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapBangkok United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.551.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.241.22
First team to scoreBangkok United to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultBangkok United ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bangkok United / FT Bangkok United ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Bangkok United – last 6

DDLWWD
29 Apr@ Uthai Thani1–1D
22 Apr@ Svay Rieng1–1D
15 Aprvs Gamba Osaka0–3L
8 Apr@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
3 Aprvs Sukhothai FC2–0W
22 Mar@ Prachuap0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ayutthaya FC – last 6

LLLLWL
26 Aprvs Prachuap1–3L
12 Apr@ Buriram United0–2L
5 Apr@ Lamphun Warrior0–2L
21 Marvs Nakhon Ratchasima FC0–1L
15 Mar@ Ratchaburi2–1W
7 Marvs Kanchanaburi0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bangkok United and Ayutthaya FC.

Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC?

On our numbers Bangkok United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ayutthaya FC 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC?

Our predicted score is Bangkok United 1–0 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC?

Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Thammasat Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.