Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Aarau travel to face Stade Lausanne-Ouchy on Friday 13 February in the Challenge League, with Stade Olympique de la Pontaise the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.9 xG, FC Aarau 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 49%, draw 23%, FC Aarau 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–1 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
FC Aarau28%fair 3.57 · @2.85
3.05Expected goals
1.93Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
1.12FC Aarau xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.9 – 1.1 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
49%
2.03
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.42
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
FC Aarau +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
No recent results on record.
FC Aarau
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC Aarau.
What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Aarau 28%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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