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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Aarau v Rapperswil: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
5–3
FT
FC Aarau 53%Draw 24%Rapperswil 23% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.25
77%
Betarazi pick

FC Aarau or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓53% · @1.70
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 27 February the Challenge League brings FC Aarau against Rapperswil. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Rapperswil are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.8 xG, Rapperswil 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 53%, draw 24%, Rapperswil 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Aarau or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Aarau or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–1 Rapperswil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Aarau53%fair 1.89 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Rapperswil23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
3.09Expected goals
1.84FC Aarau xG
1.25Rapperswil xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.8 – 1.2 Rapperswil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓53%1.891.70
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.55
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✓70%1.44–
Asian handicapRapperswil +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreFC Aarau to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultFC Aarau ahead at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✗32%3.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

FC Aarau – last 2

DL
20 Feb@ Stade Nyonnais1–1D
13 Feb@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rapperswil – last 2

WW
20 Febvs Bellinzona2–1W
13 Feb@ FC WIL 19002–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Aarau and Rapperswil.

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

Our pick is FC Aarau or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

On our numbers FC Aarau have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rapperswil 23%.

How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–1 Rapperswil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.