Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 20 March: Bellinzona v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in the Challenge League, played at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona.
Current form
Bellinzona, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Étoile Carouge, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Yverdon Sport, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Bellinzona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bellinzona 0.8 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bellinzona 15%, draw 21%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 64%.
Lower-risk option: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bellinzona 0–2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bellinzona15%fair 6.58 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
2.99Expected goals
0.79Bellinzona xG
2.20Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Bellinzona 0.8 – 2.2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✗
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Bellinzona – last 4
LLLL
13 Mar
vs Étoile Carouge
0–3
L
27 Feb
vs Yverdon Sport
0–4
L
20 Feb
@ Rapperswil
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs FC Vaduz
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
@ Yverdon Sport
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC WIL 1900
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs FC Aarau
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bellinzona and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
What is the prediction for Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers Bellinzona have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 64%.
How many goals will there be in Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is Bellinzona 0–2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Bellinzona vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Vaduz2