FC Aarau 57%Draw 23%Étoile Carouge 19%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.09
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗57% · @1.50
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✗81% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Tuesday 7 April: FC Aarau v Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Aarau, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Vaduz, at home. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Étoile Carouge, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Stade Nyonnais, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Étoile Carouge.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Étoile Carouge 0–3 FC Aarau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.9 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 57%, draw 23%, Étoile Carouge 19%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–1 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Aarau57%fair 1.74 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.90
Étoile Carouge19%fair 5.19 · @5.75
2.97Expected goals
1.88FC Aarau xG
1.09Étoile Carouge xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.9 – 1.1 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Étoile Carouge 19%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Vaduz3
Bellinzona2