Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 April the Challenge League brings Étoile Carouge against Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at Stade de la Fontenette. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Étoile Carouge are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Étoile Carouge, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Aarau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rapperswil, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Étoile Carouge, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Étoile Carouge 1.0 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Étoile Carouge 28%, draw 23%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 48%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Étoile Carouge 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Étoile Carouge28%fair 3.54 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
2.71Expected goals
1.02Étoile Carouge xG
1.69Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.0 – 1.7 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✗
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Étoile Carouge +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Étoile Carouge – last 6
WDWWLD
7 Apr
@ FC Aarau
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Stade Nyonnais
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ FC WIL 1900
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Bellinzona
3–0
W
6 Mar
vs FC Aarau
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Yverdon Sport
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 6
LLLWLW
7 Apr
vs Rapperswil
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs FC WIL 1900
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Bellinzona
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Yverdon Sport
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC WIL 1900
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs FC Aarau
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Étoile Carouge and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 48%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Étoile Carouge vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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