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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Aarau v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
3–0
FT
FC Aarau 45%Draw 22%Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 33% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.60
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓45% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.56

FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Aarau welcome Stade Lausanne-Ouchy for a Challenge League fixture on Wednesday 22 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Aarau, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Étoile Carouge, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Étoile Carouge, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4–2 FC Aarau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.5 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 45%, draw 22%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Aarau45%fair 2.23 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.85
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy33%fair 3.06 · @3.90
3.06Expected goals
1.45FC Aarau xG
1.60Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.5 – 1.6 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓45%2.231.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.40
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapFC Aarau +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.30
First team to scoreStade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.56–

Recent results

FC Aarau – last 6

LWWWDL
7 Aprvs Étoile Carouge1–3L
13 Marvs FC Vaduz2–0W
6 Mar@ Étoile Carouge3–0W
27 Febvs Rapperswil5–3W
20 Feb@ Stade Nyonnais1–1D
13 Feb@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–4L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 6

DLLLWL
10 Apr@ Étoile Carouge1–1D
7 Aprvs Rapperswil1–2L
3 Aprvs FC WIL 19000–2L
20 Mar@ Bellinzona1–2L
8 Mar@ Yverdon Sport2–0W
22 Feb@ FC WIL 19000–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v FC Aarau4–2
FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?

On our numbers FC Aarau have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 33%.

How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?

Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?

FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.