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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rapperswil v Étoile Carouge: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
2–1
FT
Rapperswil 37%Draw 24%Étoile Carouge 39% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.38
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Rapperswil to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultÉtoile Carouge to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.70

Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rapperswil welcome Étoile Carouge for a Challenge League fixture on Friday 24 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, Rapperswil are 9th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rapperswil, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Vaduz, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Étoile Carouge, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC WIL 1900, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Étoile Carouge, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Rapperswil.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rapperswil 1.6 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rapperswil 37%, draw 24%, Étoile Carouge 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Rapperswil to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rapperswil 1–1 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rapperswil37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.45
Étoile Carouge39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
2.93Expected goals
1.55Rapperswil xG
1.38Étoile Carouge xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%

From our goals model: Rapperswil 1.6 – 1.4 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÉtoile Carouge to win ✗39%2.582.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.50
Draw no betÉtoile Carouge (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapÉtoile Carouge +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreRapperswil to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rapperswil / FT Rapperswil ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.70–

Recent results

Rapperswil – last 6

LWLLDL
19 Apr@ FC Vaduz1–2L
7 Apr@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–1W
20 Mar@ Stade Nyonnais1–2L
15 Mar@ Neuchatel Xamax FC2–3L
6 Marvs FC Vaduz0–0D
27 Feb@ FC Aarau3–5L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Étoile Carouge – last 6

WDWDWW
17 Aprvs FC WIL 19002–0W
10 Aprvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1D
7 Apr@ FC Aarau3–1W
3 Aprvs Stade Nyonnais0–0D
22 Mar@ FC WIL 19003–1W
13 Mar@ Bellinzona3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rapperswil and Étoile Carouge.

Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

On our numbers Rapperswil have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Étoile Carouge 39%.

How many goals will there be in Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

Our predicted score is Rapperswil 1–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge?

Rapperswil vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.