Neuchatel Xamax FC 62%Draw 22%Bellinzona 16%Expected goals 2.11 – 0.88
84%
Betarazi pick
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Neuchatel Xamax FC to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNeuchatel Xamax FC to win62% · @1.73
Double chanceNeuchatel Xamax FC or draw84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.15
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Neuchatel Xamax FC v Bellinzona in the Challenge League.
Current form
Neuchatel Xamax FC, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yverdon Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Bellinzona, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Vaduz, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Neuchatel Xamax FC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Bellinzona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.1 xG, Bellinzona 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neuchatel Xamax FC 62%, draw 22%, Bellinzona 16%.
Lower-risk option: Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Neuchatel Xamax FC to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–0 Bellinzona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neuchatel Xamax FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.85
Bellinzona16%fair 6.27 · @3.85
3.00Expected goals
2.11Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
0.88Bellinzona xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.1 – 0.9 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neuchatel Xamax FC to win
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Neuchatel Xamax FC (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Neuchatel Xamax FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Neuchatel Xamax FC to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Neuchatel Xamax FC ahead at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neuchatel Xamax FC / FT Neuchatel Xamax FC
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6
DWLLWD
22 Apr
@ Yverdon Sport
2–2
D
10 Apr
vs Stade Nyonnais
4–1
W
7 Apr
@ FC WIL 1900
2–5
L
3 Apr
vs FC Vaduz
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Rapperswil
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Stade Nyonnais
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bellinzona – last 6
LLWLLL
7 Apr
@ FC Vaduz
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Yverdon Sport
2–5
L
20 Mar
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Étoile Carouge
0–3
L
27 Feb
vs Yverdon Sport
0–4
L
20 Feb
@ Rapperswil
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neuchatel Xamax FC and Bellinzona.
What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
Our pick is Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bellinzona 16%.
How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–0 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona?
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Bellinzona (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
