Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Aarau to win ✓50% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Aarau travel to face Neuchatel Xamax FC on Friday 1 May in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, Neuchatel Xamax FC are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Neuchatel Xamax FC, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yverdon Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
FC Aarau, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Neuchatel Xamax FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.5 xG, FC Aarau 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neuchatel Xamax FC 27%, draw 23%, FC Aarau 50%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neuchatel Xamax FC27%fair 3.69 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
FC Aarau50%fair 2.01 · @1.60
3.10Expected goals
1.46Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
1.64FC Aarau xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.5 – 1.6 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Aarau to win✓
50%
2.01
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Draw no bet
FC Aarau (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Neuchatel Xamax FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
First team to score
FC Aarau to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6
DWLLWD
22 Apr
@ Yverdon Sport
2–2
D
10 Apr
vs Stade Nyonnais
4–1
W
7 Apr
@ FC WIL 1900
2–5
L
3 Apr
vs FC Vaduz
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Rapperswil
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Stade Nyonnais
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Aarau – last 6
WLWWWD
22 Apr
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3–0
W
7 Apr
vs Étoile Carouge
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs FC Vaduz
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Étoile Carouge
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Rapperswil
5–3
W
20 Feb
@ Stade Nyonnais
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neuchatel Xamax FC and FC Aarau.
What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Aarau 50%.
How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
