Richmond Kickers vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Richmond Kickers v Naples in the USL League One, played at City Stadium. In the table, Richmond Kickers are 17th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naples, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Red Force, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Richmond Kickers 1.3 xG, Naples 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Richmond Kickers 35%, draw 25%, Naples 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Richmond Kickers 1–1 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Richmond Kickers35%fair 2.90 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
Naples40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
2.75Expected goals
1.32Richmond Kickers xG
1.43Naples xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 1.3 – 1.4 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naples to win✓
40%
2.49
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Naples (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Richmond Kickers +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Naples to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naples / FT Naples✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Richmond Kickers – last 2
WD
17 Mar
vs Evergreen
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Alta
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Naples – last 4
WDWL
19 Mar
vs Red Force
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Richmond Kickers and Naples.
What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naples 40%.
How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Richmond Kickers vs Naples?
Richmond Kickers vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
