Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓74% · @1.50
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59% · @1.85
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 9.04
CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSF Bălți welcome Sheriff Tiraspol to Stadionul Orasenesc for a Super Liga fixture on Sunday 8 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, CSF Bălți are 8th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 18 matches; Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSF Bălți 0.7 xG, Sheriff Tiraspol 2.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSF Bălți 9%, draw 17%, Sheriff Tiraspol 74%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sheriff Tiraspol to win (74%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSF Bălți 0–2 Sheriff Tiraspol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSF Bălți9%fair 10.81 · @5.50
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @3.80
Sheriff Tiraspol74%fair 1.36 · @1.50
3.39Expected goals
0.69CSF Bălți xG
2.70Sheriff Tiraspol xG
46%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–311%
0–19%
1–28%
1–38%
0–47%
From our goals model: CSF Bălți 0.7 – 2.7 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheriff Tiraspol to win✓
74%
1.36
1.50 ▲
Double chance
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Sheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Sheriff Tiraspol -1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Sheriff Tiraspol to score first✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Sheriff Tiraspol ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol✗
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
11%
9.04
–
Recent results
CSF Bălți – last 1
L
4 Mar
@ Petrocub
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sheriff Tiraspol – last 1
W
4 Mar
vs Dacia-Buiucani
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSF Bălți and Sheriff Tiraspol.
What is the prediction for CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our pick is Sheriff Tiraspol to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
On our numbers CSF Bălți have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sheriff Tiraspol 74%.
How many goals will there be in CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our predicted score is CSF Bălți 0–2 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Orasenesc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
