Value bet: Al Ahli Doha to win @ 2.14 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Ahli Doha to win ✗50% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ahli Doha welcome Al Shahaniya to Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium for a Stars League fixture on Friday 27 February (19:30 WAT). In the table, Al Ahli Doha are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Al Shahaniya are 9th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Ahli Doha, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Rayyan SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli Doha 1.9 xG, Al Shahaniya 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli Doha 50%, draw 23%, Al Shahaniya 26%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Al Ahli Doha to win @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli Doha 1–1 Al Shahaniya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli Doha50%fair 1.99 · @2.14
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Al Shahaniya26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
3.07Expected goals
1.88Al Ahli Doha xG
1.20Al Shahaniya xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 1.9 – 1.2 Al Shahaniya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli Doha to win✗
50%
1.99
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Al Ahli Doha (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Al Shahaniya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Al Ahli Doha to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Al Ahli Doha ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli Doha / FT Al Ahli Doha✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Al Ahli Doha – last 3
LDL
22 Feb
@ Al-Rayyan SC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Sepahan FC
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs UMM Salal
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Shahaniya – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Qatar SC
3–4
L
13 Feb
vs Al-Arabi SC
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and Al Shahaniya.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Shahaniya 26%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 1–1 Al Shahaniya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya?
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shahaniya (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
UMM Salal2