Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: UMM Salal to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUMM Salal to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
UMM Salal vs Qatar SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UMM Salal welcome Qatar SC to Thani bin Jassim Stadium for a Stars League fixture on Wednesday 18 March (19:30 WAT).
Current form
UMM Salal, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al Wakrah, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Qatar SC, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al-Gharafa, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UMM Salal 1.8 xG, Qatar SC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UMM Salal 39%, draw 23%, Qatar SC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: UMM Salal to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: UMM Salal 1–1 Qatar SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UMM Salal39%fair 2.58 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.70
Qatar SC38%fair 2.62 · @2.05
3.25Expected goals
1.76UMM Salal xG
1.50Qatar SC xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: UMM Salal 1.8 – 1.5 Qatar SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UMM Salal to win✗
39%
2.58
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Draw no bet
UMM Salal (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Qatar SC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
UMM Salal to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UMM Salal / FT UMM Salal✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
UMM Salal – last 3
DWW
27 Feb
vs Al Wakrah
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Al-Sailiya
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Al Ahli Doha
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Qatar SC – last 3
WWL
12 Mar
vs Al-Gharafa
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Al Shahaniya
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Shamal
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UMM Salal and Qatar SC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Qatar SC?
On our numbers UMM Salal have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qatar SC 38%.
How many goals will there be in UMM Salal vs Qatar SC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UMM Salal vs Qatar SC?
Our predicted score is UMM Salal 1–1 Qatar SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is UMM Salal vs Qatar SC?
UMM Salal vs Qatar SC (Stars League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Thani bin Jassim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
